Description

This analysis provides a forecast of AVAX prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-06-22 0.005511 0.006114 0.006768 0.007532 0.008404 0.009369 0.010524
2025-06-29 0.004455 0.005261 0.006205 0.007400 0.008885 0.010686 0.013060
2025-07-06 0.003840 0.004720 0.005803 0.007248 0.009153 0.011614 0.015092
2025-07-13 0.003458 0.004388 0.005579 0.007240 0.009539 0.012672 0.017377
2025-07-20 0.003228 0.004213 0.005519 0.007412 0.010153 0.014076 0.020316
2025-07-27 0.002965 0.003959 0.005316 0.007350 0.010405 0.014972 0.022606
2025-08-03 0.002762 0.003766 0.005173 0.007345 0.010726 0.015985 0.025211
2025-08-10 0.002567 0.003564 0.004993 0.007261 0.010902 0.016777 0.027549
2025-08-17 0.002430 0.003434 0.004906 0.007303 0.011273 0.017915 0.030656
2025-08-24 0.002279 0.003269 0.004750 0.007216 0.011416 0.018676 0.033183
2025-08-31 0.002112 0.003069 0.004524 0.006994 0.011302 0.018962 0.034827
2025-09-07 0.002010 0.002961 0.004432 0.006984 0.011550 0.019926 0.037983
2025-09-14 0.001957 0.002931 0.004470 0.007210 0.012268 0.021915 0.043787
2025-09-21 0.001836 0.002785 0.004309 0.007077 0.012317 0.022620 0.046953
2025-09-28 0.001725 0.002647 0.004152 0.006934 0.012325 0.023240 0.050042
2025-10-05 0.001648 0.002560 0.004073 0.006926 0.012594 0.024437 0.054791
2025-10-12 0.001606 0.002529 0.004087 0.007090 0.013224 0.026505 0.062260
2025-10-19 0.001532 0.002438 0.003988 0.007030 0.013384 0.027543 0.067229
2025-10-26 0.001472 0.002367 0.003922 0.007026 0.013660 0.028888 0.073415
2025-11-02 0.001405 0.002282 0.003822 0.006946 0.013760 0.029825 0.078639
2025-11-09 0.001360 0.002231 0.003783 0.006986 0.014131 0.031488 0.086589
2025-11-16 0.001302 0.002154 0.003690 0.006904 0.014213 0.032429 0.092477
2025-11-23 0.001231 0.002050 0.003540 0.006694 0.013973 0.032485 0.095380